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college basketball poll - week 6
1 - Kansas St (9-1) (81.3828125) (1)
2 - Duke (9-1) (76.140625) (9)
3 - Kentucky (11-0) (75.67578125) (3)
4 - Purdue (10-0) (74.595703125) (2)
5 - Temple (9-2) (73.19921875) (5)
6 - Texas (10-0) (72.580078125) (14)
7 - Villanova (10-1) (71.748046875) (7)
8 - New Mexico (12-0) (71.6923828125) (8)
9 - Syracuse (11-0) (70.8798828125) (6)
10 - Georgetown (8-1) (70.43359375) (4)
11 - Wisconsin (8-2) (67.7890625) (11)
12 - UAB (10-1) (67.71484375) (NR)
13 - VA Commonwealth (7-2) (67.6796875) (17)
14 - Mississippi (10-1) (66.15234375) (13)
15 - Florida St (10-2) (66.0400390625) (NR)
16 - St John’s (9-1) (65.71875) (NR)
17 - Richmond (8-3) (65.2890625) (NR)
18 - Clemson (10-2) (64.69921875) (24)
19 - Illinois (8-3) (64.62890625) (10)
20 - Mississippi St (9-2) (64.615234375) (NR)
21 - South Florida (10-2) (63.98046875) (NR)
22 - Butler (8-3) (63.9228515625) (NR)
23 - West Virginia (8-0) (63.853515625) (12)
24 - Connecticut (7-2) (63.73828125) (18)
25 - Pittsburgh (9-2) (63.408203125) (NR)
dropped out: William & Mary, Texas A&M, Michigan St, Harvard, Missouri St, Gonzaga, Kansas -
college basketball poll - week 5
Lots of movement, which is not surprising this early in the season. Yes, that’s Kansas State in the number one spot, not the Jayhawks.
A found a bug in my script where non-Division I games were getting counted. Massey’s .csv files give these teams ID “0”. It looks like my script had lumped all these team 0’s together and treated them as one, which caused way more connections between teams than there should have been. That’s been fixed.
1 - Kansas St (8-1) (67.3994140625) (7)
2 - Purdue (9-0) (67.076171875) (2)
3 - Kentucky (10-0) (63.4873046875) (9)
4 - Georgetown (8-0) (63.16015625) (NR)
5 - Temple (8-2) (62.3125) (NR)
6 - Syracuse (10-0) (62.1826171875) (3)
7 - Villanova (9-1) (61.70068359375) (4)
8 - New Mexico (10-0) (61.56298828125) (17)
9 - Duke (7-1) (60.814453125) (1)
10 - Illinois (8-2) (59.2353515625) (NR)
11 - Wisconsin (7-2) (58.4384765625) (8)
12 - West Virginia (7-0) (55.572265625) (12)
13 - Mississippi (8-1) (54.3544921875) (15)
14 - Texas (8-0) (54.318359375) (NR)
15 - Kansas (9-0) (54.1826171875) (NR)
16 - St John’s (8-1) (54.146484375) (NR)
17 - VA Commonwealth (6-2) (54.0335693359375) (NR)
18 - Connecticut (6-2) (52.2412109375) (5)
19 - Missouri St (9-0) (52.1416015625) (14)
20 - William & Mary (6-2) (51.7578125) (6)
21 - Gonzaga (7-2) (51.57421875) (20)
22 - Harvard (7-2) (51.4951171875) (18)
23 - Texas A&M (7-2) (51.3603515625) (21)
24 - Clemson (8-2) (51.166015625) (24)
25 - Michigan St (8-2) (50.943359375) (NR)
dropped out: Florida, Washington, Notre Dame, Ohio St, Vanderbilt, Texas Tech, Miami FL, North Carolina -
college football poll - week 15
Okay, now we have the final regular season poll. The Army/Navy game didn’t have any effect on the top 10, but the Buckeyes jumped up two slots and Navy jumped a bunch.
1 - Alabama (13-0) (42) (1)
2 - Cincinnati (12-0) (41.59375) (2)
3 - Texas (13-0) (39.25) (3)
4 - Florida (12-1) (39.1875) (4)
5 - LSU (9-3) (37.875) (5)
6 - Miami (FL) (9-3) (37) (6)
7 - Virginia Tech (9-3) (36.96875) (7)
8 - TCU (12-0) (36.75) (8)
9 - Oregon (10-2) (36.5) (9)
9 - Boise St. (13-0) (36.5) (9)
11 - Ohio St. (10-2) (36.140625) (13)
12 - Pittsburgh (9-3) (36.125) (11)
13 - Iowa (10-2) (35.8125) (12)
14 - Southern California (8-4) (35.25) (14)
15 - West Virginia (9-3) (34.875) (15)
15 - Georgia Tech (11-2) (34.875) (15)
17 - Oklahoma St. (9-3) (34.59375) (17)
18 - Clemson (8-5) (34) (18)
19 - Navy (9-4) (33.90625) (NR)
20 - North Carolina (8-4) (33.375) (19)
21 - California (8-4) (33.25) (20)
22 - Connecticut (7-5) (32.984375) (21)
23 - Arizona (8-4) (32.9375) (22)
24 - Georgia (7-5) (32.78125) (23)
25 - Stanford (8-4) (32.5625) (24)
dropped out: Houston -
html disabled in comments
Take that, spammers!
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i jumped the gun
D’oh – the Army/Navy game is this weekend, so the regular college football season is not yet over! I’ll release one more poll, because it could have some effect. For example, Iowa is just a nose above the Buckeyes right now. OSU beat Navy. So if the Midshipmen win (as they likely will), that could bump the Scarlet and Gray up a notch. We shall see!
Oh, and what’s the deal with spammers getting through my Turing test? Argh.
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regular season big ten rankings
No commentary ‘cause I’m lazy. Just the facts.
1 - Iowa (#12 overall)
2 - Ohio St. (#13 overall)
3 - Penn St. (#41 overall)
4 - Wisconsin (#46 overall)
5 - Northwestern (#52 overall)
6 - Minnesota (#59 overall)
7 - Purdue (#61 overall)
8 - Michigan (#69 overall)
9 - Michigan St. (#72 overall)
10 - Illinois (#90 overall)
11 - Indiana (#97 overall) -
regular season conference rankings
Here’s how the conferences stack up now that the regular season is behind us:
1 - Southeastern (34.0833333333333)
2 - Big East (35)
3 - Pacific-10 (39.2)
4 - Atlantic Coast (41)
5 - Big 12 (44.8333333333333)
6 - FBS Independent (55.3333333333333)
7 - Big Ten (55.6363636363636)
8 - Mountain West (75.8888888888889)
9 - Conference USA (76.0833333333333)
10 - Western Athletic (82.5555555555556)
11 - Mid-American (85.6923076923077)
12 - Sun Belt (101.333333333333)Ouch. It hurts to be a Big Ten fan. It’ll be interesting to see what happens after the bowl games.
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my bcs bowl projections v. reality
So, in this post, I made some BCS bowl projections based on my ranking system as of week 7. Now that the bowl matchups are public knowledge, let’s compare!
National Championship Game
My projection: Alabama v. Texas
Reality: Alabama v. Texas
Ding ding ding! Woohoo!Rose Bowl
My projection: Iowa v. Oregon
Reality: Ohio State v. Oregon
As a diehard Northwestern fan, I was elated when my Wildcats dethroned the undefeated Hawkeyes, even if it did mean that my projection of them getting through the Big Ten unscathed and smelling the roses at season’s end wound up being false. I did predict the last man standing in the messy Pac-10 race though. That’s something, right?Orange Bowl
My projection: Miami v. Pitt
Reality: Iowa v. Georgia Tech
At first glance, it looks like a massive fail. But I did project both the Hawkeyes and the Yellow Jackets making it to BCS bowls, correct? Just not this one.Sugar Bowl
My projection: Florida v. TCU
Reality: Florida v. Cincinnati
Nailed the Gators, and TCU is BCS-bound, so not all that bad.Fiesta Bowl
My projection: USC v. Georgia Tech
Reality: TCU v. The Donks, er, I mean Boise State
LOL. USC. LOL. At least I didn’t have them going to the Rose Bowl.Okay, analysis time. I got 7/10 teams correct, 4/10 teams in the correct game, and 1/5 matchups correct. Let’s compare with the week 7 projections from the ESPN analysts that get paid to do this, Mark Schlabach and Pat Forde.
Schlabach: 7/10 teams, 4/10 teams in correct game, 2/5 matchups. Just beat me by a nose.
Forde: 7/10 teams, 3/10 teams in correct game, 0/5 matchups. Woohoo! Take that, Pat Forde! Your football analysis skills can kneel before my Perl scripts! Muahaha!Ahem. ‘Scuse me.
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college basketball poll - week 4
Unfortunately, the NCAA statistics website isn’t consistent between all the various sports, and while I can get a nice Perl-ready .csv of all the Division I-A football scores this season, no such .csv exists for Division I men’s basketball. There’s a .pdf, but I didn’t really feel like dealing with that. I’m sure it’s possible, since Perl is amazing and everything, but whatever. So, instead, I’m getting my basketball scores from Massey Ratings.
Other than that, the formula is the same as my football poll, explained here. I don’t really have any commentary, as I haven’t quite left college football mode yet. So here it is:
1 - Duke (7-1) (53.02734375)
2 - Purdue (7-0) (52.19921875)
3 - Syracuse (8-0) (48.59375)
4 - Villanova (8-0) (47.26806640625)
5 - Connecticut (6-1) (45.6640625)
6 - William & Mary (6-2) (44.92529296875)
7 - Kansas St (7-1) (44.45458984375)
8 - Wisconsin (6-1) (43.796875)
9 - Kentucky (8-0) (43.5390625)
10 - Vanderbilt (6-1) (42.985107421875)
11 - Florida (8-0) (42.16796875)
12 - West Virginia (5-0) (42.1640625)
13 - North Carolina (7-2) (42.0546875)
14 - Missouri St (7-0) (41.4715576171875)
15 - Mississippi (7-1) (40.967529296875)
16 - Ohio St (7-1) (40.7557373046875)
17 - New Mexico (8-0) (39.6673278808594)
18 - Harvard (6-2) (39.54296875)
19 - Texas Tech (8-0) (39.326171875)
20 - Gonzaga (6-2) (38.8046875)
21 - Texas A&M (7-1) (38.63330078125)
22 - Washington (6-1) (38.61328125)
23 - Notre Dame (8-1) (38.50341796875)
24 - Clemson (7-2) (38.21875)
25 - Miami FL (8-1) (38.0859375)I’m not going to bother with directed graphs since there’s like 300 Division I teams.
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college football poll - week 14
Here it is, the final regular season poll! Sadly, no new poll until after the MNC game. Although, I do have a basketball poll in the works!
So basically, the Bearcats got robbed. They’re no longer #1 – ‘Bama’s win over the Overrators (like that?) was enough to move the Tide back to numero uno – but in my poll they’re a very solid number two.
1 - Alabama (13-0) (42) (2)
2 - Cincinnati (12-0) (41.59375) (1)
3 - Texas (13-0) (39.25) (4)
4 - Florida (12-1) (39.1875) (3)
5 - LSU (9-3) (37.875) (5)
6 - Miami (FL) (9-3) (37) (6)
7 - Virginia Tech (9-3) (36.96875) (8)
8 - TCU (12-0) (36.75) (7)
9 - Oregon (10-2) (36.5) (9)
9 - Boise St. (13-0) (36.5) (11)
11 - Pittsburgh (9-3) (36.125) (9)
12 - Iowa (10-2) (35.8125) (14)
13 - Ohio St. (10-2) (35.765625) (12)
14 - Southern California (8-4) (35.125) (13)
15 - West Virginia (9-3) (34.875) (24)
15 - Georgia Tech (11-2) (34.875) (15)
17 - Oklahoma St. (9-3) (34.59375) (16)
18 - Clemson (8-5) (34) (17)
19 - North Carolina (8-4) (33.375) (19)
20 - California (8-4) (33.25) (18)
21 - Connecticut (7-5) (32.984375) (NR)
22 - Arizona (8-4) (32.9375) (NR)
23 - Georgia (7-5) (32.78125) (22)
24 - Stanford (8-4) (32.5625) (20)
25 - Houston (10-3) (32.546875) (21)
dropped out: Missouri, Navy
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